Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 88.364844 98.568322 108.985367 120.385659 132.481206 144.903404 158.596861
2025-02-02 74.387454 89.308410 105.183908 123.211135 142.996612 163.942113 187.684281
2025-02-09 63.558314 80.860690 99.863711 122.036153 146.960795 173.898566 205.001628
2025-02-16 55.164692 74.043064 95.380983 120.874596 150.119191 182.269516 219.946780
2025-02-23 49.561138 69.790834 93.240396 121.827763 155.177034 192.350744 236.433519
2025-03-02 44.290937 65.414057 90.509527 121.694155 158.644081 200.352689 250.339659
2025-03-09 40.201413 62.110073 88.740843 122.410459 162.858257 209.017612 264.843563
2025-03-16 35.680448 57.879474 85.527307 121.114337 164.467431 214.485937 275.523378
2025-03-23 33.051978 55.890871 84.921196 122.838747 169.552091 223.915325 290.720800
2025-03-30 30.845368 54.283143 84.654356 124.864319 174.910548 233.607080 306.189090
2025-04-06 27.733931 51.190156 82.281299 124.089862 176.729877 239.006565 316.548652
2025-04-13 24.229485 47.262440 78.588789 121.446157 176.088601 241.339133 323.181413
2025-04-20 23.352870 47.132682 79.984163 125.390470 183.709453 253.726317 341.916595
2025-04-27 22.133988 46.398702 80.499578 128.155806 189.845368 264.331518 358.565833
2025-05-04 19.733389 43.660768 78.104062 126.972166 190.902531 268.683725 367.664214
2025-05-11 17.554952 41.083622 75.791010 125.779273 191.854132 272.837517 376.472397
2025-05-18 16.198198 39.727619 75.138019 126.756146 195.543868 280.337705 389.321631
2025-05-25 14.650122 37.914460 73.723589 126.619214 197.736477 285.945410 399.846923
2025-06-01 13.456681 36.608371 72.983127 127.352959 201.024209 292.894722 412.003015
2025-06-08 11.863040 34.430899 70.824314 126.025266 201.539139 296.324436 419.808801
2025-06-15 11.111166 33.740279 70.889026 127.791648 206.125642 304.872663 433.925309
2025-06-22 10.479301 33.221944 71.186095 129.866228 211.113153 313.930460 448.686137
2025-06-29 9.301118 31.507665 69.522887 129.073071 212.220404 318.036465 457.293754